Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eller wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kero shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eller 47.4% vs Kero 45.4% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 62.9%
Defensive zone
Kero 51.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Eller
Kero
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Eller
Kero
Last 9: Eller 8-1 Kero
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
2
1
Eller
Kero
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
0
Eller
Kero
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
2
0
Eller
Kero
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eller
Kero
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (701)
45.9% (434)
+3.0%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (2)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (174)
25.7% (35)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kero shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Eller shoots left. Kero is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Eller
Kero
Home
47.5% (421)
47.7% (214)
Away
46.8% (462)
41.6% (257)
By Period
Eller
Kero
P1
47.8%
44.4%
P2
47.3%
48.5%
P3
46.1%
39.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Kero
62.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 17:17 | Offensive | Tanner Kero |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 2 | 07:45 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:52 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:17 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Jan 13, 2017 | 1 | 01:03 | Offensive | Lars Eller |