Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Hall wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hall 45.4% vs Hertl 54.2% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hall 86.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 72.1%
Neutral zone
Hall 65.0%
Result
Taylor Hall favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Hall
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Hall
Hertl
Last 8: Hall 3-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hall
1
0
Hall
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Hall
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Hall
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hall
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (757)
53.8% (8,268)
-10.1%
Power Play
51.0% (149)
59.3% (1,975)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
46.3% (806)
-0.1%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hall is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (569).
Hall shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Hall
Hertl
Home
45.0% (467)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
44.9% (452)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Hall
Hertl
P1
46.5%
53.6%
P2
46.7%
54.1%
P3
42.8%
55.3%
OT
31.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
47.1%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hall
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.9%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Taylor Hall |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 17:51 | Neutral | Taylor Hall |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:42 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:31 | Offensive | Taylor Hall |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 04:25 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |