Scouting Report
Barrett Hayton holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayton 53.8% vs Blueger 50.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayton 67.7%
Defensive zone
Blueger 78.4%
Neutral zone
Blueger 56.8%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Hayton
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Hayton
Blueger
Last 5: Hayton 1-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayton
1
0
Hayton
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
3
Hayton
Blueger
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Hayton
Blueger
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayton
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (817)
53.3% (745)
-0.7%
Power Play
63.3% (139)
45.5% (11)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
41.7% (259)
+11.4%
On power play, Hayton has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Hayton is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (684).
Hayton shoots left. Blueger is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Hayton
Blueger
Home
53.9% (516)
53.4% (504)
Away
54.4% (504)
47.2% (511)
By Period
Hayton
Blueger
P1
55.1%
46.6%
P2
55.0%
53.0%
P3
51.7%
50.8%
OT
69.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayton
42.0%▼
51.0%
54.1%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 04:45 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:36 | Offensive | Barrett Hayton |
| Dec 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:06 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |