Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 55.0% vs Blueger 52.8% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 84.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 62.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 56.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Larkin
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Larkin
Blueger
Last 6: Larkin 5-1 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
1
Larkin
Blueger
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (943)
54.2% (590)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.4% (244)
71.4% (14)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (106)
48.0% (177)
-1.8%
On power play, Blueger has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Larkin shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Larkin
Blueger
Home
56.0% (654)
53.2% (378)
Away
54.8% (639)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Larkin
Blueger
P1
54.4%
54.3%
P2
55.9%
56.7%
P3
55.2%
48.9%
OT
64.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
55.4%
Blueger
54.0%▲
49.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |