Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.7% vs 50.0%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Blueger 50.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Blueger 60.3%
Defensive zone
Blueger 54.9%
Neutral zone
Blueger 51.9%
Result
Teddy Blueger favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Dowd
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
8
(24 meetings)
16
8
Dowd
Blueger
Last 10: Dowd 6-4 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
3
7
Dowd
Blueger
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
1
Dowd
Blueger
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
4
0
Dowd
Blueger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
52.3% (3,540)
+0.1%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
50.0% (76)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
42.6% (1,100)
+1.5%
On power play, Dowd has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Dowd shoots right. Blueger is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,516).
Home / Away
Dowd
Blueger
Home
51.9% (3,897)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Dowd
Blueger
P1
51.7%
49.2%
P2
50.4%
52.3%
P3
50.3%
48.5%
OT
45.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 19:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:27 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 2 | 01:34 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 01:39 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 18:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 04:38 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:03 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| May 1, 2021 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 3 | 01:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 7, 2020 | 3 | 09:44 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |