Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Brent on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 58.0% vs right-shot opponents — Brent shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 56.3% vs Brent 51.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brent 51.4%
Defensive zone
Brent 89.3%
Neutral zone
Brent 73.0%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 73.9%
26.1%
73.9%
Toews
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Toews
Brent
Last 6: Toews 1-5 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Brent
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
0
3
Toews
Brent
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
0
1
Toews
Brent
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
55.6% (1,125)
52.8% (563)
+2.8%
Power Play
59.3% (312)
54.5% (22)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
57.4% (204)
51.0% (198)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Toews is 58.0% vs right-shot opponents (459).
Toews shoots left. Brent is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Toews
Brent
Home
59.8% (858)
50.5% (384)
Away
53.3% (795)
53.5% (404)
By Period
Toews
Brent
P1
58.7%
54.9%
P2
55.1%
52.5%
P3
56.5%
48.7%
OT
54.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.7%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 18:17 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Tim Brent |