Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.4% vs 45.9%). Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Boyce wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Boyce 47.0% vs Connolly 46.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Connolly leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 59.0%
Defensive zone
Boyce 57.6%
Neutral zone
Connolly 55.0%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Boyce
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Boyce
Connolly
Last 10: Boyce 3-7 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
3
Boyce
Connolly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Boyce
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
4
Boyce
Connolly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Boyce
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (424)
47.0% (702)
-0.3%
Power Play
47.1% (17)
49.7% (165)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
22.2% (9)
29.9% (97)
-7.7%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Boyce is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (167).
Boyce shoots left. Connolly is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Boyce
Connolly
Home
51.5% (239)
46.7% (512)
Away
40.8% (218)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Boyce
Connolly
P1
47.7%
46.5%
P2
46.5%
47.5%
P3
44.8%
44.0%
OT
50.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Boyce
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.4%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 17:22 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:00 | Defensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 18:46 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 16, 2011 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Darryl Boyce |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 2 | 10:42 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 5, 2011 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Darryl Boyce |