Scouting Report
Jussi Jokinen holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jokinen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jokinen wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jokinen 54.6% vs Connolly 48.9% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 78.1%
Defensive zone
Jokinen 78.7%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 88.2%
Result
Jussi Jokinen favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Jokinen
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Jokinen
Connolly
Last 10: Jokinen 8-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
3
1
Jokinen
Connolly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
2
Jokinen
Connolly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
4
0
Jokinen
Connolly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jokinen
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (661)
47.8% (605)
+7.1%
Power Play
55.6% (99)
51.2% (86)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (65)
55.1% (89)
+4.9%
On even strength, Jokinen has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Jokinen is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Jokinen shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Jokinen
Connolly
Home
58.0% (414)
51.1% (358)
Away
52.4% (418)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Jokinen
Connolly
P1
52.8%
48.7%
P2
53.9%
48.1%
P3
57.5%
50.4%
OT
84.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.5%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jokinen
44.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 07:02 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 2 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 10:51 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Jussi Jokinen |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |
| Nov 20, 2011 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Jussi Jokinen |