Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fisher 48.4% vs Connolly 46.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Fisher leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Fisher 67.1%
Defensive zone
Fisher 81.8%
Neutral zone
Fisher 72.9%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 74.7%
74.7%
25.3%
Fisher
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Fisher
Connolly
Last 10: Fisher 7-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
1
Fisher
Connolly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
3
2
Fisher
Connolly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
5
2
Fisher
Connolly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fisher
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (939)
47.0% (702)
+0.4%
Power Play
52.2% (178)
49.7% (165)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
29.9% (97)
+18.0%
On penalty kill, Fisher has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Fisher is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (367).
Fisher shoots right. Connolly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Fisher
Connolly
Home
50.6% (693)
46.7% (512)
Away
45.4% (553)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Fisher
Connolly
P1
48.9%
46.5%
P2
47.2%
47.5%
P3
49.3%
44.0%
OT
37.5%
40.9%
Final 5 min
45.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
48.3%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2011 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Mar 20, 2011 | 1 | 05:14 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 18:38 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 22, 2010 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 3 | 01:25 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 04:35 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Oct 8, 2010 | 2 | 01:34 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |