Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.5% vs 48.7%). Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gomez wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gomez 49.7% vs Connolly 48.9% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gomez 60.4%
Defensive zone
Connolly 67.0%
Neutral zone
Gomez 53.8%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Gomez
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Gomez
Connolly
Last 7: Gomez 4-3 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gomez
2
0
Gomez
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gomez
Connolly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
2
Gomez
Connolly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gomez
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (270)
47.8% (605)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (50)
51.2% (86)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
55.1% (89)
-30.1%
On penalty kill, Connolly has a +30.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Gomez is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (90).
Gomez shoots left. Connolly is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Gomez
Connolly
Home
48.3% (178)
51.1% (358)
Away
51.0% (155)
46.7% (428)
By Period
Gomez
Connolly
P1
52.3%
48.7%
P2
47.0%
48.1%
P3
50.0%
50.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
49.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
49.5%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 11:31 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 3 | 07:40 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 11, 2012 | 1 | 09:59 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 11:25 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |