Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Nichol on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Nichol wins 60.6% vs right-shot opponents — Connolly shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nichol 57.8% vs Connolly 46.3% (+13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 54.0%
Defensive zone
Nichol 90.2%
Neutral zone
Nichol 72.1%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 75.1%
75.1%
24.9%
Nichol
Connolly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nichol
Connolly
Last 6: Nichol 4-2 Connolly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
0
2
Nichol
Connolly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nichol
3
0
Nichol
Connolly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nichol
1
0
Nichol
Connolly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nichol
Connolly
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (394)
47.0% (702)
+11.6%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
49.7% (165)
+21.7%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (78)
29.9% (97)
+31.6%
On penalty kill, Nichol has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Connolly shoots right. Nichol is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (137).
Nichol shoots right. Connolly is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Nichol
Connolly
Home
56.1% (246)
46.7% (512)
Away
62.8% (239)
45.1% (457)
By Period
Nichol
Connolly
P1
57.7%
46.5%
P2
58.1%
47.5%
P3
62.8%
44.0%
OT
100.0%
40.9%
Final 5 min
59.3%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
59.4%
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 2 | 04:51 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 16:36 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Jan 6, 2011 | 1 | 07:00 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |