Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.2% vs 46.7%). Look for Stapleton on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 47.3% vs Stapleton 47.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Stapleton leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Stapleton 57.1%
Defensive zone
Connolly 60.5%
Neutral zone
Stapleton 57.5%
Result
Tim Stapleton favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Connolly
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Connolly
Stapleton
Last 10: Connolly 4-6 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
1
4
Connolly
Stapleton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
3
1
Connolly
Stapleton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
5
Connolly
Stapleton
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,307)
45.6% (421)
+1.8%
Power Play
50.2% (251)
72.7% (11)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (186)
50.0% (6)
-8.1%
On power play, Stapleton has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Connolly is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (576).
Connolly shoots right. Stapleton is 42.5% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Connolly
Stapleton
Home
48.5% (870)
47.3% (222)
Away
45.9% (885)
46.1% (219)
By Period
Connolly
Stapleton
P1
47.4%
56.5%
P2
47.7%
42.4%
P3
47.0%
42.3%
OT
37.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
42.3%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 15:54 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 3 | 15:30 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 15:34 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:47 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 11:11 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 04:44 | Neutral | Tim Stapleton |
| Feb 23, 2011 | 2 | 16:14 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |