Scouting Report
Tim Connolly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Connolly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 47.3% vs Galiardi 43.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Connolly 81.5%
Defensive zone
Connolly 74.3%
Neutral zone
Connolly 65.0%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Connolly
Galiardi
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Connolly
Galiardi
Last 5: Connolly 4-1 Galiardi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
0
Connolly
Galiardi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
1
0
Connolly
Galiardi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Connolly
2
1
Connolly
Galiardi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Galiardi
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,307)
42.0% (388)
+5.4%
Power Play
50.2% (251)
48.1% (27)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (186)
42.9% (70)
-1.0%
On even strength, Connolly has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Galiardi shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Connolly shoots right. Galiardi is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
Connolly
Galiardi
Home
48.5% (870)
44.6% (271)
Away
45.9% (885)
39.5% (215)
By Period
Connolly
Galiardi
P1
47.4%
39.1%
P2
47.7%
45.3%
P3
47.0%
42.2%
OT
37.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.3%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Galiardi
36.0%▼
38.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 14:34 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 06:02 | Neutral | TJ Galiardi |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 14:49 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |