Tim Connolly vs Vincent Lecavalier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Lecavalier holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lecavalier on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Connolly 47.3% vs Lecavalier 50.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Lecavalier leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Connolly 62.8%
Defensive zone
Connolly 68.1%
Neutral zone
Connolly 62.8%
Result
Tim Connolly favored at 63.6%
63.6%
36.4%
Connolly
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
18
(27 meetings)
9
18
Connolly
Lecavalier
Last 10: Connolly 4-6 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Connolly
5
3
Connolly
Lecavalier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
1
3
Connolly
Lecavalier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lecavalier
3
12
Connolly
Lecavalier
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Connolly
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (1,307)
49.1% (3,304)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.2% (251)
53.4% (858)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (186)
51.5% (101)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Lecavalier has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Connolly is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,179).
Connolly shoots right. Lecavalier is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,527).
Home / Away
Connolly
Lecavalier
Home
48.5% (870)
51.9% (2,244)
Away
45.9% (885)
47.8% (2,045)
By Period
Connolly
Lecavalier
P1
47.4%
51.0%
P2
47.7%
50.8%
P3
47.0%
48.0%
OT
37.8%
56.1%
Final 5 min
42.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Connolly
50.0%▬
51.0%
47.2%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | OT | 02:32 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Tim Connolly |
| Jan 3, 2012 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 15:40 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 01:02 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:09 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Nov 22, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 12:21 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 06:15 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 03:24 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 07:44 | Defensive | Vincent Lecavalier |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Tim Connolly |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Offensive | Tim Connolly |