Scouting Report
Tim Sestito holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schaller wins 37.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schaller 43.4% vs Sestito 47.6% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Sestito leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Schaller 53.3%
Defensive zone
Schaller 62.0%
Neutral zone
Schaller 62.0%
Result
Tim Schaller favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Schaller
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Schaller
Sestito
Last 10: Schaller 3-7 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
4
Schaller
Sestito
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
1
0
Schaller
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Schaller
Sestito
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schaller
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (170)
47.6% (84)
-7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
0.0% (1)
+100.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
38.1% (21)
-9.5%
On power play, Schaller has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Schaller is 37.7% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Schaller shoots left. Sestito is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Home / Away
Schaller
Sestito
Home
33.3% (36)
54.4% (68)
Away
41.3% (150)
28.9% (38)
By Period
Schaller
Sestito
P1
38.1%
42.1%
P2
44.6%
36.8%
P3
37.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
34.9%
32.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
39.8%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |