Scouting Report
Tim Sestito holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Schaller wins 41.1% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schaller 43.0% vs Sestito 46.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Sestito leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Sestito 51.5%
Defensive zone
Schaller 60.3%
Neutral zone
Schaller 57.5%
Result
Tim Schaller favored at 54.5%
54.5%
45.5%
Schaller
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Schaller
Sestito
Last 10: Schaller 3-7 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
4
Schaller
Sestito
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schaller
1
0
Schaller
Sestito
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Schaller
Sestito
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schaller
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
42.2% (419)
45.7% (457)
-3.5%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
36.9% (111)
34.2% (38)
+2.7%
On power play, Schaller has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Schaller is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (360).
Schaller shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Schaller
Sestito
Home
42.5% (240)
48.0% (273)
Away
41.1% (302)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Schaller
Sestito
P1
42.6%
42.5%
P2
42.0%
42.1%
P3
39.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
40.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schaller
42.0%▼
45.0%
41.7%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 17:13 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:17 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:16 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 10:14 | Defensive | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 04:52 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |
| Jan 6, 2015 | 1 | 02:01 | Neutral | Tim Schaller |