Scouting Report
Marty Reasoner holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sestito on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Reasoner wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sestito shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Reasoner 54.2% vs Sestito 47.0% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sestito 78.7%
Defensive zone
Sestito 66.1%
Neutral zone
Sestito 74.2%
Result
Tim Sestito favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Reasoner
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Reasoner
Sestito
Last 6: Reasoner 1-5 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sestito
1
2
Reasoner
Sestito
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sestito
0
3
Reasoner
Sestito
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Reasoner
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (923)
45.7% (230)
+10.4%
Power Play
56.1% (57)
62.5% (8)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (278)
33.3% (12)
+14.9%
On penalty kill, Reasoner has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Reasoner is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (830).
Reasoner shoots left. Sestito is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (167).
Home / Away
Reasoner
Sestito
Home
56.9% (627)
46.5% (142)
Away
52.2% (657)
45.0% (111)
By Period
Reasoner
Sestito
P1
52.9%
43.9%
P2
53.8%
50.0%
P3
57.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Reasoner
50.0%▼
52.5%
54.5%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2011 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 04:30 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Marty Reasoner |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 05:03 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 2 | 02:15 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |