Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Barkov wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Stützle 48.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barkov 90.0%
Defensive zone
Barkov 70.0%
Neutral zone
Barkov 72.6%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Barkov
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Barkov
Stützle
Last 6: Barkov 5-1 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
1
Barkov
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
47.7% (398)
+7.8%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
50.0% (10)
+12.3%
On power play, Barkov has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Barkov is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Barkov shoots left. Stützle is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (227).
Home / Away
Barkov
Stützle
Home
56.4% (550)
53.4% (236)
Away
56.7% (476)
40.1% (172)
By Period
Barkov
Stützle
P1
56.5%
49.1%
P2
55.5%
41.3%
P3
57.9%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
38.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |