Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Stützle 47.2% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 71.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 86.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.4%
85.4%
14.6%
Staal
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Staal
Stützle
Last 8: Staal 7-1 Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Stützle
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
45.3% (468)
+13.6%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
62.5% (24)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
60.0% (20)
-8.2%
On even strength, Staal has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Stützle is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Staal
Stützle
Home
57.0% (646)
46.3% (270)
Away
59.1% (729)
47.1% (242)
By Period
Staal
Stützle
P1
55.9%
46.1%
P2
55.4%
45.8%
P3
62.0%
48.2%
OT
70.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
58.1%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 12:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:54 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |