Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.6%). Look for Stützle on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stützle 52.9% vs Seguin 52.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 71.4%
Defensive zone
Seguin 68.3%
Neutral zone
Stützle 58.9%
Result
Tim Stützle favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Stützle
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stützle
Seguin
Last 5: Stützle 3-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Stützle
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stützle
3
1
Stützle
Seguin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stützle
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (485)
53.2% (201)
-0.2%
Power Play
55.2% (58)
60.0% (25)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
56.7% (30)
44.4% (9)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Stützle is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Stützle shoots left. Seguin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stützle
Seguin
Home
52.5% (282)
56.3% (126)
Away
54.3% (291)
50.5% (109)
By Period
Stützle
Seguin
P1
52.1%
44.3%
P2
56.2%
52.1%
P3
52.0%
62.5%
OT
66.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 13:07 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:13 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:56 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tim Stützle |