Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Carter wins 59.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stapleton shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Carter 54.0% vs Stapleton 48.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 77.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 92.3%
Neutral zone
Carter 81.1%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Carter
Stapleton
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Carter
Stapleton
Last 5: Carter 4-1 Stapleton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stapleton
0
1
Carter
Stapleton
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
0
Carter
Stapleton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
1
0
Carter
Stapleton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Carter
Stapleton
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (445)
47.2% (214)
+9.0%
Power Play
54.4% (114)
75.0% (8)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (40)
66.7% (3)
-29.2%
On penalty kill, Stapleton has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stapleton shoots right. Carter is 59.3% vs right-shot opponents (204).
Carter shoots right. Stapleton is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Carter
Stapleton
Home
55.0% (291)
49.6% (115)
Away
54.5% (314)
47.3% (110)
By Period
Carter
Stapleton
P1
57.2%
54.1%
P2
46.6%
46.3%
P3
58.0%
45.7%
OT
77.8%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.7%
Stapleton
38.0%▼
44.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 16:34 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 11:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Tim Stapleton |
| Mar 17, 2011 | OT | 04:01 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |