Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Meier on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Meier wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Meier 43.7% vs Seguin 53.6% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 59.3%
Defensive zone
Seguin 91.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 80.2%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Meier
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Meier
Seguin
Last 6: Meier 4-2 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Meier
2
1
Meier
Seguin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Meier
2
0
Meier
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Meier
Seguin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Meier
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (468)
53.7% (8,071)
-12.5%
Power Play
50.0% (100)
55.9% (810)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
49.3% (762)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Meier is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Meier shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Meier
Seguin
Home
43.2% (280)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
42.1% (302)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Meier
Seguin
P1
43.0%
52.8%
P2
44.4%
53.3%
P3
40.0%
54.7%
OT
0.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
38.0%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Meier
46.0%▲
44.5%
42.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 09:42 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Timo Meier |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Timo Meier |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 06:15 | Defensive | Timo Meier |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |