Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Karlsson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pyatt wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Karlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pyatt 46.9% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 60.5%
Defensive zone
Pyatt 50.8%
Neutral zone
Pyatt 53.3%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Pyatt
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Pyatt
Karlsson
Last 6: Pyatt 3-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
1
3
Pyatt
Karlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
0
Pyatt
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pyatt
1
0
Pyatt
Karlsson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pyatt
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (922)
51.8% (7,849)
-4.6%
Power Play
55.0% (20)
54.8% (1,048)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (174)
44.2% (1,109)
-2.2%
On even strength, Karlsson has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pyatt is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (706).
Pyatt shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Pyatt
Karlsson
Home
48.0% (598)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
45.0% (524)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Pyatt
Karlsson
P1
47.1%
50.3%
P2
47.6%
51.3%
P3
45.2%
52.4%
OT
41.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
44.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pyatt
34.0%▼
36.5%
46.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 06:12 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tom Pyatt |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | William Karlsson |