Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (40.6% vs 40.6%). Wilson wins 40.0% vs left-shot opponents — Parise shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wilson 42.4% vs Parise 42.2% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Parise 58.7%
Defensive zone
Wilson 63.6%
Neutral zone
Parise 52.0%
Result
Tom Wilson favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Wilson
Parise
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wilson
Parise
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (240)
40.9% (352)
-0.1%
Power Play
38.5% (65)
41.1% (95)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (104)
35.0% (40)
+6.3%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Parise shoots left. Wilson is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (325).
Wilson shoots right. Parise is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Wilson
Parise
Home
33.7% (187)
36.1% (238)
Away
46.4% (222)
44.8% (250)
By Period
Wilson
Parise
P1
42.0%
44.8%
P2
44.8%
39.4%
P3
33.3%
37.3%
OT
16.7%
30.8%
Final 5 min
41.3%
36.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
40.6%
Parise
28.0%▼
36.5%
40.6%