Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Brooks wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brooks 46.5% vs Hertl 52.3% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brooks 79.9%
Defensive zone
Brooks 71.0%
Neutral zone
Brooks 80.1%
Result
Adam Brooks favored at 78.2%
78.2%
21.8%
Brooks
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Brooks
Hertl
Last 5: Brooks 0-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Brooks
Hertl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
Brooks
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Brooks
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brooks
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
40.4% (52)
51.6% (1,084)
-11.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
61.0% (246)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
44.1% (136)
-10.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Brooks is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (30).
Brooks shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Brooks
Hertl
Home
41.2% (17)
55.2% (696)
Away
40.0% (40)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Brooks
Hertl
P1
35.7%
55.4%
P2
33.3%
54.8%
P3
50.0%
48.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brooks
44.0%▲
41.7%
40.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 3 | 00:47 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 12:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 09:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 01:22 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |