Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cooley on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cooley wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cooley 45.4% vs Hertl 57.2% (-13.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 74.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 71.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 69.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Cooley
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cooley
Hertl
Last 7: Cooley 4-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Cooley
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
0
Cooley
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cooley
2
1
Cooley
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cooley
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (392)
58.1% (823)
-14.2%
Power Play
46.5% (71)
56.2% (265)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
62.9% (35)
-5.8%
On even strength, Hertl has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Cooley is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Cooley shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Cooley
Hertl
Home
45.0% (211)
59.7% (561)
Away
44.0% (259)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Cooley
Hertl
P1
44.0%
51.6%
P2
49.7%
63.8%
P3
38.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cooley
42.0%▼
49.5%
44.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 07:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 10:58 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:45 | Neutral | Logan Cooley |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Logan Cooley |