Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (64% H2H, 33 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 49.8% vs Hertl 54.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 48-36 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 72.7%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 61.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 60.7%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Getzlaf
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
48
(84 meetings)
36
48
Getzlaf
Hertl
Last 10: Getzlaf 5-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
13
10
Getzlaf
Hertl
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
11
17
Getzlaf
Hertl
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
12
21
Getzlaf
Hertl
33 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (10,258)
53.8% (8,268)
-4.2%
Power Play
54.9% (1,381)
59.3% (1,975)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (1,055)
46.3% (806)
-1.5%
On power play, Hertl has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (9,181).
Getzlaf shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Hertl
Home
51.8% (6,270)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
47.8% (6,495)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Getzlaf
Hertl
P1
49.2%
53.6%
P2
50.4%
54.1%
P3
49.7%
55.3%
OT
49.1%
46.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:21 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:44 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 2 | 01:20 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:33 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:18 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 06:33 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 18:21 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |