Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 51.1% vs Hertl 54.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 53.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 63.5%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 59.7%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Getzlaf
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
11
(14 meetings)
3
11
Getzlaf
Hertl
Last 10: Getzlaf 2-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Getzlaf
Hertl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Getzlaf
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
Getzlaf
Hertl
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (812)
54.7% (570)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.3% (94)
55.2% (143)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (126)
54.5% (77)
-9.3%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Getzlaf shoots right. Hertl is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
Hertl
Home
52.5% (531)
56.2% (379)
Away
49.9% (503)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Getzlaf
Hertl
P1
47.8%
53.4%
P2
54.6%
52.7%
P3
52.6%
57.6%
OT
27.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 2 | 06:08 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 27, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:31 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 5, 2019 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |