Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Hertl wins 61.2% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.5% vs Boyd 43.9% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 94.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 75.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 88.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 92.3%
92.3%
7.7%
Hertl
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Hertl
Boyd
Last 10: Hertl 9-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
8
0
Hertl
Boyd
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
1
Hertl
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,117)
43.4% (893)
+10.7%
Power Play
59.8% (296)
51.5% (136)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
34.4% (32)
34.6% (127)
-0.2%
On even strength, Hertl has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Hertl shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Hertl
Boyd
Home
54.3% (709)
46.0% (570)
Away
55.3% (736)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Hertl
Boyd
P1
51.6%
38.9%
P2
53.6%
50.4%
P3
58.6%
41.1%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 1, 2023 | 1 | 06:59 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |