Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 54.7% vs Rask 46.2% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 59.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 59.1%
Neutral zone
Rask 57.8%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Hertl
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
Hertl
Rask
Last 10: Hertl 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
4
Hertl
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
5
2
Hertl
Rask
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Hertl
Rask
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (648)
45.5% (442)
+10.2%
Power Play
60.4% (149)
44.7% (38)
+15.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (626).
Hertl shoots left. Rask is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Hertl
Rask
Home
58.3% (391)
45.6% (228)
Away
52.8% (489)
45.2% (252)
By Period
Hertl
Rask
P1
58.9%
45.1%
P2
51.5%
45.5%
P3
54.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
54.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.2%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 05:02 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 12:02 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 08:42 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:59 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 16, 2021 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 14:26 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 01:25 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:49 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Feb 22, 2021 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |