Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hertl 52.3% vs Rask 50.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 65.0%
Defensive zone
Hertl 58.1%
Neutral zone
Hertl 59.1%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Hertl
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Hertl
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Hertl
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
0
Hertl
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hertl
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (1,084)
50.6% (172)
+1.0%
Power Play
61.0% (246)
50.0% (4)
+11.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Hertl shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Hertl
Rask
Home
55.2% (696)
53.7% (82)
Away
50.0% (770)
47.9% (94)
By Period
Hertl
Rask
P1
55.4%
56.0%
P2
54.8%
47.5%
P3
48.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2021 | 2 | 16:24 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 11:30 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 05:45 | Offensive | Victor Rask |