Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Nosek 51.3% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 70.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 67.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 71.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Henrique
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Henrique
Nosek
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
2
Henrique
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Nosek
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
52.7% (355)
+1.9%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
28.6% (7)
+32.7%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
44.0% (25)
+7.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +32.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. Nosek is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Home / Away
Henrique
Nosek
Home
58.1% (310)
52.8% (214)
Away
51.9% (237)
50.3% (173)
By Period
Henrique
Nosek
P1
56.1%
54.2%
P2
53.6%
53.1%
P3
55.7%
46.4%
OT
71.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:06 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:03 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 18, 2021 | 1 | 06:23 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 02:33 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |