Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Czarnik wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Nosek 58.0% (-16.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 92.2%
Neutral zone
Nosek 86.1%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Czarnik
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Czarnik
Nosek
Last 9: Czarnik 6-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
0
Czarnik
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Czarnik
Nosek
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
2
Czarnik
Nosek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
59.7% (469)
-16.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
100.0% (4)
-100.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
56.5% (124)
-23.2%
On power play, Nosek has a +100.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Czarnik is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Czarnik shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Nosek
Home
46.1% (76)
59.0% (295)
Away
40.5% (84)
59.6% (302)
By Period
Czarnik
Nosek
P1
44.2%
56.3%
P2
41.2%
61.9%
P3
44.6%
59.2%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 19:36 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:24 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 12, 2023 | 1 | 14:26 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |