Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Nosek 53.6% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 69.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 88.3%
Neutral zone
Nosek 72.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Schmaltz
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Schmaltz
Nosek
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
4
3
Schmaltz
Nosek
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Schmaltz
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Schmaltz
Nosek
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
54.9% (2,674)
-13.7%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
44.7% (47)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
47.4% (424)
+0.4%
On even strength, Nosek has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Nosek
Home
42.7% (2,089)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Schmaltz
Nosek
P1
41.1%
52.3%
P2
42.9%
54.0%
P3
43.0%
54.6%
OT
42.4%
75.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 06:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 11, 2021 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 08:44 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 03:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 24, 2021 | 3 | 18:22 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 3 | 11:04 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 05:18 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 1 | 09:05 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 2 | 06:25 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |