Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 51.3% vs Bozak 55.4% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 73.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 50.5%
Neutral zone
Nosek 60.3%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Nosek
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nosek
Bozak
Last 6: Nosek 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
0
Nosek
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
4
Nosek
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (355)
58.3% (271)
-5.6%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
60.6% (33)
-32.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (25)
50.0% (78)
-6.0%
On power play, Bozak has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Nosek is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (118).
Nosek shoots left. Bozak is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (278).
Home / Away
Nosek
Bozak
Home
52.8% (214)
60.7% (206)
Away
50.3% (173)
52.3% (176)
By Period
Nosek
Bozak
P1
54.2%
57.3%
P2
53.1%
57.8%
P3
46.4%
56.2%
OT
60.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
51.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |