Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 53.5%). Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 64.8%
Defensive zone
Nosek 60.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 51.5%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Nosek
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Nosek
Bozak
Last 10: Nosek 3-7 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
1
Nosek
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
6
Nosek
Bozak
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
0
Nosek
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (2,674)
53.7% (9,596)
+1.2%
Power Play
44.7% (47)
55.2% (1,990)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (424)
48.0% (1,094)
-0.6%
On power play, Bozak has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Nosek is 52.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,203).
Nosek shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Nosek
Bozak
Home
52.7% (1,631)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
54.8% (1,514)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Nosek
Bozak
P1
52.3%
53.2%
P2
54.0%
52.8%
P3
54.6%
54.5%
OT
75.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 16:15 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 31, 2017 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 01:34 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |