Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Nosek wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 53.9% vs Motte 44.0% (+11.2%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 73.5%
Defensive zone
Nosek 88.7%
Neutral zone
Nosek 82.8%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Nosek
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Nosek
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
1
Nosek
Motte
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nosek
Motte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
2
Nosek
Motte
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (2,608)
43.6% (424)
+11.4%
Power Play
43.5% (46)
41.7% (12)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (397)
37.9% (66)
+10.7%
On even strength, Nosek has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Nosek shoots left. Motte is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Home / Away
Nosek
Motte
Home
52.9% (1,606)
45.2% (248)
Away
55.3% (1,445)
40.6% (254)
By Period
Nosek
Motte
P1
52.5%
44.6%
P2
54.7%
42.1%
P3
54.6%
41.8%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |