Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 51.4% vs Motte 44.9% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 74.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 84.6%
Neutral zone
Nosek 70.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Nosek
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Nosek
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
1
Nosek
Motte
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nosek
Motte
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
3
2
Nosek
Motte
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (400)
40.8% (130)
+12.2%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
50.0% (8)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (44)
42.9% (7)
+2.6%
On power play, Motte has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Nosek is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (304).
Nosek shoots left. Motte is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
Nosek
Motte
Home
49.6% (244)
39.3% (61)
Away
54.2% (212)
42.9% (84)
By Period
Nosek
Motte
P1
53.1%
42.0%
P2
51.4%
44.7%
P3
51.1%
37.5%
Final 5 min
48.3%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |