Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Nosek wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nosek 58.0% vs Trocheck 55.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 90.0%
Defensive zone
Nosek 85.1%
Neutral zone
Nosek 54.8%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Nosek
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Nosek
Trocheck
Last 5: Nosek 3-2 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Nosek
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
0
Nosek
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Nosek
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nosek
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
59.7% (469)
55.0% (956)
+4.7%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
59.8% (266)
+40.2%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (124)
56.3% (64)
+0.2%
On power play, Nosek has a +40.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Nosek is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Nosek shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Nosek
Trocheck
Home
59.0% (295)
57.7% (673)
Away
59.6% (302)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Nosek
Trocheck
P1
56.3%
55.4%
P2
61.9%
55.6%
P3
59.2%
56.4%
OT
100.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
61.9%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
59.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |