Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 52.7% vs Plekanec 50.0% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Beagle 53.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 55.4%
Neutral zone
Beagle 54.1%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Beagle
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Beagle
Plekanec
Last 7: Beagle 4-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Beagle
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
59.3% (91)
51.0% (1,016)
+8.3%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
49.0% (206)
-49.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (12)
46.3% (307)
-13.0%
On power play, Plekanec has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Beagle is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Beagle shoots right. Plekanec is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (632).
Home / Away
Beagle
Plekanec
Home
65.7% (35)
53.3% (836)
Away
50.0% (70)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Beagle
Plekanec
P1
63.2%
54.4%
P2
45.2%
44.5%
P3
60.9%
50.4%
OT
50.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
55.6%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
55.2%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:00 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Mar 26, 2011 | 3 | 05:12 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 2 | 01:08 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 15:52 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 10:34 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Dec 28, 2010 | 1 | 01:59 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |