Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Beagle wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.0% vs Plekanec 50.5% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 54.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 84.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 74.8%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Beagle
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Beagle
Plekanec
Last 9: Beagle 6-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
1
Beagle
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
2
Beagle
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (318)
51.5% (701)
+4.2%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
47.1% (121)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (115)
48.6% (138)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Beagle is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Beagle shoots right. Plekanec is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Beagle
Plekanec
Home
58.0% (226)
51.4% (473)
Away
54.1% (218)
49.8% (488)
By Period
Beagle
Plekanec
P1
54.7%
50.7%
P2
57.7%
50.7%
P3
56.1%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.1%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:37 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:25 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 19:01 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:11 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |