Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 55.8% vs Plekanec 51.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 63.9%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 50.3%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 51.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Beagle
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Beagle
Plekanec
Last 6: Beagle 2-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Beagle
Plekanec
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Beagle
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Plekanec
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (799)
53.8% (1,081)
+3.0%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
48.6% (70)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
54.6% (291)
37.8% (201)
+16.8%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Beagle is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Beagle shoots right. Plekanec is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Beagle
Plekanec
Home
57.6% (552)
52.3% (725)
Away
55.1% (555)
49.9% (627)
By Period
Beagle
Plekanec
P1
56.9%
54.6%
P2
59.0%
51.3%
P3
54.0%
47.9%
OT
40.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 11:56 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 10:06 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 3 | 06:49 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 19:13 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |