Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 54.1% vs Plekanec 50.0% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Plekanec 59.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 67.6%
Neutral zone
Plekanec 64.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Thornton
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Thornton
Plekanec
Last 9: Thornton 2-7 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
3
Thornton
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
2
Thornton
Plekanec
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
Thornton
Plekanec
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (922)
51.0% (1,016)
+1.8%
Power Play
56.1% (196)
49.0% (206)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
62.0% (100)
46.3% (307)
+15.7%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Thornton is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Thornton shoots left. Plekanec is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (945).
Home / Away
Thornton
Plekanec
Home
54.9% (597)
53.3% (836)
Away
54.0% (643)
46.2% (741)
By Period
Thornton
Plekanec
P1
53.0%
54.4%
P2
51.2%
44.5%
P3
57.8%
50.4%
OT
72.7%
68.2%
Final 5 min
59.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.4%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 06:08 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 17:41 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 14:05 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 10:25 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 06:32 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |