Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thornton wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 51.7% vs Plekanec 53.1% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 80.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 76.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 57.8%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Thornton
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Thornton
Plekanec
Last 10: Thornton 5-5 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
1
0
Thornton
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
4
Thornton
Plekanec
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
4
3
Thornton
Plekanec
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (372)
53.3% (1,007)
-0.6%
Power Play
47.6% (63)
71.4% (21)
-23.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
51.4% (208)
+8.6%
On power play, Plekanec has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Thornton is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Thornton shoots left. Plekanec is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (773).
Home / Away
Thornton
Plekanec
Home
51.2% (250)
52.2% (628)
Away
53.2% (190)
54.4% (608)
By Period
Thornton
Plekanec
P1
56.1%
55.6%
P2
52.8%
54.4%
P3
47.4%
49.9%
OT
57.1%
63.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 3 | 16:36 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 09:51 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:16 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |