Scouting Report
Colton Sissons holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Sissons wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sissons 55.3% vs Novak 43.4% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sissons 58.8%
Defensive zone
Sissons 97.2%
Neutral zone
Sissons 92.0%
Result
Colton Sissons favored at 80.8%
80.8%
19.2%
Sissons
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Sissons
Novak
Last 5: Sissons 4-1 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sissons
2
0
Sissons
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sissons
1
0
Sissons
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sissons
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (428)
41.3% (368)
+15.7%
Power Play
58.8% (17)
46.9% (32)
+11.9%
On even strength, Sissons has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Sissons is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (392).
Sissons shoots right. Novak is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Sissons
Novak
Home
52.9% (263)
42.4% (184)
Away
59.3% (297)
41.2% (216)
By Period
Sissons
Novak
P1
55.8%
42.5%
P2
57.6%
39.1%
P3
55.4%
44.5%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sissons
60.0%▲
58.5%
56.3%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.5%
41.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 06:20 | Neutral | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Colton Sissons |
| Mar 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Colton Sissons |