Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Philp wins 34.5% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Philp 44.6% vs Novak 45.0% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Novak 57.3%
Defensive zone
Novak 50.9%
Neutral zone
Novak 53.3%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Philp
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Philp
Novak
Last 5: Philp 3-2 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Philp
Novak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Philp
Novak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Philp
1
0
Philp
Novak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Philp
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
38.9% (95)
42.9% (198)
-4.0%
On even strength, Novak has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Philp is 34.5% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Philp shoots right. Novak is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (94).
Home / Away
Philp
Novak
Home
38.9% (54)
40.9% (110)
Away
39.6% (48)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Philp
Novak
P1
42.9%
39.1%
P2
40.0%
43.9%
P3
34.5%
44.9%
Final 5 min
36.8%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Philp
54.0%▲
48.0%
39.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 01:48 | Neutral | Noah Philp |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Noah Philp |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Noah Philp |