Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Stastny wins 56.6% vs right-shot opponents — Wingels shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.4% vs Wingels 44.7% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 78.7%
Defensive zone
Stastny 92.4%
Neutral zone
Stastny 92.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Stastny
Wingels
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Stastny
Wingels
Last 5: Stastny 5-0 Wingels
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Wingels
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Wingels
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Wingels
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Wingels
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,004)
42.4% (245)
+13.0%
Power Play
59.0% (210)
100.0% (2)
-41.0%
Penalty Kill
54.1% (196)
38.5% (13)
+15.6%
On power play, Wingels has a +41.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wingels shoots right. Stastny is 56.6% vs right-shot opponents (579).
Stastny shoots left. Wingels is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Stastny
Wingels
Home
56.5% (717)
42.5% (120)
Away
55.0% (693)
42.9% (140)
By Period
Stastny
Wingels
P1
56.7%
44.0%
P2
57.7%
36.2%
P3
52.1%
48.8%
Final 5 min
59.1%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
42.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 3 | 11:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |