Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wingels 47.0% vs Seguin 54.5% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wingels 56.2%
Defensive zone
Wingels 58.9%
Neutral zone
Wingels 58.4%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Wingels
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wingels
Seguin
Last 6: Wingels 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Wingels
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Wingels
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
2
1
Wingels
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wingels
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (388)
55.1% (1,036)
-8.5%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
56.9% (174)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.6% (54)
52.2% (230)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Wingels is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Wingels shoots right. Seguin is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (492).
Home / Away
Wingels
Seguin
Home
46.6% (191)
58.9% (703)
Away
46.2% (264)
51.0% (737)
By Period
Wingels
Seguin
P1
49.0%
54.5%
P2
41.8%
53.7%
P3
48.3%
57.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |