Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Wingels on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wingels 44.4% vs Seguin 53.6% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wingels 60.7%
Defensive zone
Wingels 62.7%
Neutral zone
Wingels 60.3%
Result
Tommy Wingels favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Wingels
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wingels
Seguin
Last 6: Wingels 2-4 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
2
Wingels
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Wingels
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wingels
2
1
Wingels
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wingels
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
44.2% (871)
53.7% (8,071)
-9.5%
Power Play
43.2% (74)
55.9% (810)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (109)
49.3% (762)
-8.0%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Wingels is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (310).
Wingels shoots right. Seguin is 54.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Wingels
Seguin
Home
44.4% (462)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
43.4% (592)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Wingels
Seguin
P1
45.1%
52.8%
P2
40.9%
53.3%
P3
46.0%
54.7%
OT
33.3%
54.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wingels
50.0%▼
51.5%
43.8%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 18:49 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:58 | Neutral | Tommy Wingels |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 01:53 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |