Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 41.3% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Boyd 43.9% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 56.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 80.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 73.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Bjugstad
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bjugstad
Boyd
Last 5: Bjugstad 4-1 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Boyd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Boyd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Boyd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
43.4% (893)
+6.0%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
51.5% (136)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
34.6% (127)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Bjugstad is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (312).
Bjugstad shoots right. Boyd is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Boyd
Home
46.5% (480)
46.0% (570)
Away
48.9% (628)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Bjugstad
Boyd
P1
48.7%
38.9%
P2
45.6%
50.4%
P3
49.1%
41.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |